Three decades of models behind published outlooks, national strategies, and peer-reviewed research — organized by who relied on the work, and what came of it.
Three case studies
U.S. Energy Information Administration
The question: a defensible, repeatable global outlook. What we built: SAGE, the first global MARKAL model, and later IEMM, our first fully parameter-driven model. What changed: five editions of the International Energy Outlook (2003–2007) ran on SAGE; IEO 2019's electricity analysis ran on IEMM — global projection became an annual production process, not a one-off study. [verify framing w/ EIA public record]
World Bank
The question: can Serbia and its neighbors reach net-zero by 2050, and by which routes? What we built: KiNESYS-WB6, a high-resolution regional model. What changed: the published decarbonization pathways in Serbia: Towards a Sustainable and Resilient Energy Future and the ECA net-zero analysis rest on its scenarios. [verify attribution & permission]
BP
The question: consistent, technology-rich views of power, buildings, industry, and bioenergy for a global outlook. What we built: a continuing analytical engagement, refreshed annually since 2016. What changed: nearly ten consecutive years of BP's global outlook work drawing on the same maintained analytical base — the longevity itself is the point. [verify scope & permission]
Government & multilateral institutions
SAGE — the first global MARKAL model — powered the International Energy Outlook from 2003 to 2007. IEMM, our parameter-driven global electricity market model, featured in IEO 2019.
Decarbonization pathways for Serbia and the Western Balkans (KiNESYS-WB6, including net-zero-2050 scenarios); scenario analysis for the Uzbekistan CCDR; regional modeling for Europe and Central Asia: Net Zero Energy by 2050.
Bespoke country models for the Net Zero World Initiative — renewable integration, electrification, hydrogen, and CCS pathways developed with local stakeholders across multiple countries.
The first multi-region MARKAL model, exploring Canada's Kyoto commitments through inter-provincial cooperation and energy trade.
AU-TIMES contributions to Decarbonisation Futures (2020), AEMO Integrated System Plan inputs, and Australia's National Hydrogen Strategy.
EFDA TIMES — the first global TIMES model, foundation of TIAM — for fusion viability studies; PET (Pan-European TIMES), foundation of JRC-EU-TIMES, via NEEDS and RES2020.
Industry & research institutions
Technology views for power, buildings, industry, and bioenergy — a continuous engagement feeding BP's global energy outlooks.
KiNESYS in continuous use at the King Abdullah Petroleum Studies and Research Center.
Critical-mineral supply chains: resource dependencies of energy transitions, examined at depth.
Nuclear energy scenarios and their role in achieving decarbonization objectives.
In-house TIMES modeling teams running on KiNESYS under KanORS guidance, delivering high-resolution analysis to their clients.
Post-Fukushima energy choices: nuclear phase-out scenarios and renewable integration for a multi-region Japan.
State-level policy and electrification scenarios, including NREL electrification studies; introduced VedaViz interactive stakeholder visualization.
Published research
Implications of the Net Zero Transition Scenarios on SDG Indicators, in Aligning the Energy Transition with the Sustainable Development Goals — KiNESYS in a multi-model framework across 17 indicators, global and regional scenarios.
Energy and Environment Policies for a Sustainable Future (Loulou, Shukla, Kanudia); Modelling Policy Options for Greenhouse Gas Mitigation in India; Kyoto-era inter-provincial cooperation and GHG abatement studies for Canada.
